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Experts from the financial community examine the industry's potential and discuss why they invested in health clubs.
"On Wall Street today, durable goods were down and high-tech stocks took another beating. But both the Dow and Nasdaq closed at record highs as heavy trading in commercial fitness facility stocks pushed all of them to their highest levels ever."
While it isn't likely that we'll be hearing business reports like this on CNN in the near future, the financial community has indeed taken greater notice of the commercial fitness facility industry. Last year, Brentwood Associates, a Los Angeles-based investment firm, formed a company to consolidate local chains into a national operation. Brockway Moran & Partners joined forces with a Gold's Gym licensee to acquire Gold's Gym Enterprises, the Venice, CA-based licensing company. Ongoing investment in Town Sports International has allowed the chain to grow to almost 100 units. And Fitness Holdings has used funds invested in it to become arguably the largest health club chain in the world.
How much the investments in these companies reflect the financial community's confidence in the entire fitness industry is difficult to determine. Certainly, investors and analysts see potential for growth with specific fitness providers. And they do point to favorable changes in demographics that could favor the industry as a whole. But for the most part, what has been attracting investors to fitness companies has been the vitality of the individual firms more than the industry itself.
For example, analysts who are bullish about Bally Total Fitness point to its potential to better leverage more revenue from existing members with, for instance, pro shop sales. Seth Weber, an analyst at Merrill Lynch, singled out Bally's heavy investment in its back office operation as one of the company's unique strengths to continue its growth.
Said another analyst who pointed to the strength of Bally's management team, while also giving a nod to demographic changes that could benefit the entire industry as well, "The best days for Bally are ahead of it."
Anaylsts do agree that there is good potential for the entire commercial fitness industry to grow. Paul Roukis, senior equity analyst at Sidoti & Company L.L.C., commented that an increasing appreciation of the benefits of fitness, especially by insurance providers, may fuel greater membership growth. Plus, an aging population should create more demand for fitness services.
Analysts maintain that the market has few serious risk factors. For example, because health club memberships are generally low-cost items, it's not expected that a weakened economy would have a major impact on the business.
But two concerns were targeted. Roukis said that there are some indications that the number of new facilities being developed is outpacing the demand for them. He also noted that the industry must develop better trained management. "As this industry becomes more professional, it's going to take more people with a different skill set to manage it."
- T.M.
Peter Brockway
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David King Invested in 24 Hour Fitness/part of Fitness
Holdings Worldwide McCown DeLeeuw could see the consolidation coming.
As the firm prepared to invest in the fitness industry, the
fragmentation was impossible to ignore. At the time, approximately
12,000 clubs-mostly small, single operations-were in business across
United States. And Bally Total Fitness, with its hundred of locations,
loomed larger than them all.
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Show Me the Money
For more information on why commercial fitness is becoming an attractive investment opportunity, don't miss this special panel discussion at the IHRSA 2000 International Convention and Trade Show-Why The Financial Community is Bullish on the Club Industry.
Moderated by Rick Caro, chairman of Spectrum Clubs, the panel discussion will feature leading investors and financial analysts, including David Wong, managing director, Brentwood Associates; David King, managing director, McCown DeLeeuw; Michael Finkleman, managing director, BNP Credit Markets; and Paul Roukis, senior equity analyst, Sidoti & Co L.L.C.
The panel discussion will reveal:
* What has made the club industry attractive to private equity and large banking markets;
* What experts think are the key drivers for the industry over the next five years;
* The difference between the public and private markets;
* How real the consolidation market is and how it impacts you, and;
* The challenge of accessing the public and private equity and debt market.
Why The Financial Community is Bullish on the Club Industry, Session C38, will be held on Thursday, March 23, from 1:45 to 3 p.m.
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